正当
Celgene
公司雄心勃勃要增强公司市场地位的时候,
Celgene
公司研制的治疗牛皮癣新药
apremalist
三期试验却传出不利消息。这无疑为公司的发展雪上加霜。
Apremalist
在三期实验中仅有三分之一的患者牛皮癣获得很大程度抑制,而在二期实验中,这个数目达到了
41%
。因此,一些人不看好
apremalist
能取代现有治疗牛皮癣药物。
此前
Celgene
公司对
Apremalist
寄予厚望,相信它将取代现在在售的
Amgen
的
Enbrel
和
AbbVieHumira
等药物。
详细英文报道:
Inmappingoutanaggressiveplanforgrowth,Celgene($CELG)executiveshavehighlightedablockbusterfuturefortheoralpsoriasisdrugapremalist.ButonSaturdayinvestigatorsrattledthecompany'sdie-hardenthusiasts,notingthatPhaseIIIdatafortheanti-inflammatorytreatmentfellshortofanearlierroundofmid-stageefficacydatawhichhadhelpedwhipuphighhopes.Nevertheless,Celgeneisonitswaytofilingforanapprovallaterthisyear,withgoododdsofwinningagreenlightfromtheFDA.
Apremalisteasilybestedtheplacebointhestudy.AthirdofthepatientsinthePhaseIIIhada75%reductioninpsoriasis,comparedtoonly5.3%inthecontrolarm.But41%ofthepatientsintheearlierPhaseIIstudyhadreachedthesamemark,leavingsomeanalystsshakingtheirheadsovertheoraldrug'siffyfuturecompetingwithestablishedbiologics.
"Overall,theefficacywasabitbelowwhatwasseeninthePhaseIItrialandappeartoplaceapremilastbelowtheinjectablebiologics,"ISI'sMarkSchoenebaumsaidinanotetoinvestorstoday."Earlyphysicianfeedbackonefficacymatchesourview,andeventhepresenterremarkedtheefficacywas'modest'duringtheofficialpresentation.However,webelievethedrugisclearlyapprovableandcouldbeadoptedbyameaningfulnumberofdermatologistsasa'bridge'betweenmethotrexate(genericpill)andbiologics.RecallthatthemajorityofdermatologistsdoNOTusebiologics--thus,eventhoughapremilast'sefficacyisbelowbiologics,webelieveitsgoodsafetyprofileandtheeaseoforaladministrationcoulddrivesignificantuse."
ButCelgene'sestimateof$1.1billionto$1.75billioninpeaksales,Schoenebaumcautioned,is"aggressive,"withmostStreetprojectionscominginwellbelowthat.
It'shardtooverestimatetheimportanceofapremalisttoCelgene.Thecompanyseesitasoneofthreelikelynewblockbusterstoinjectbillionsofnewdollarsintothecompany.Anditrepresentsakeyefforttodiversifyitsproductbase.ButthedrugwillhavetocompeteagainstAmgen's($AMGN)EnbrelandAbbVie's($ABBV)megablockbusterHumira,biologicswithapowerfulimpact.
Celgenedoeshaveashotatprovidingatherapywithanimprovedsafetyprofile,withinvestigatorsnotinga3.6%rateofseriousadverseeventscomparedto3.2%intheplacebogroup.AndwithnocasesofTBandlymphoma,athreatpresentedbythebiologics,somedoctorscouldpreferit.
"Dermatologistswantsafety.Theydon'twantlong-termmonitoringofserioussideeffectsfortheirpatients,"CelgenespokesmanBrianGilltoldTheWallStreetJournal.
"Iseethisasaprimecandidateforfuturemanagementofpsoriasisthatallowsustotreatarangeofpatients,includingmoremoderatecasesearlieron,"saidKristianReich,aninvestigatorforthecompany.